outperform

Market Week Wrap-up

– Leading global equity indices continued floating upwards this week while the inflation drumbeat just kept getting louder. In the US, the January y/y CPI figure hit +1.6%, its highest level since last spring, and some analysts were alarmed by higher food prices creeping into CPI data sooner than expected. China’s January CPI report was lower than expected at +4.9% y/y, but markets panned the figures as heavily massaged by basket revisions. In the UK, the BoE said CPI would likely continue growing at a 4-5% clip over the short term. The World Bank released a report indicating that food prices were up 15% since October 2010 and are now only 3% away from record highs hit in 2008. Commodities moves complicated the story somewhat. While silver has pushed out to 30-year highs, there were signs that inflated soft commodity prices were beginning to unwind, with cotton and grain prices both below recent highs. Crude and gold prices have been impacted by reports that Iran is sending warships through the Suez Canal and bloody protests in Bahrain (next door to Saudi Arabia), although WTI futures were well below recent highs seen in early February. The Obama Administration unveiled its $3.73T budget proposal for 2012, including an all-time high deficit of $1.65T, reflecting the tax-cut agreement reached with Republicans in December. For 2012, the administration sees the imbalance declining to $1.1T, giving the country a record four straight years of one trillion-plus deficits. Bond prices held steady after the details were released, and Congress sharpened its knives for a budget fight. The Feb Empire Manufacturing survey hit its highest level since last June, indicating that the US manufacturing expansion seen over the last several months is continuing. On Friday there was plenty of commentary out of the G20 conference, where leaders tried mightily to achieve some concrete steps in reforming the global monetary system. Fed Chairman Bernanke took a swipe at the Chinese in his policy address to the G20, warning that nations which keep currency values low create imbalances, while the PBoC’s Zhou continued to push for a higher profile for the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). For the week, the DJIA rose 1.0%, the Nasdaq gained 0.9% and the S&P500 was up 1.0%. – John Deere crushed earnings and revenue targets in its Q1 report and nearly doubled its guidance for FY11 equipment sales. The firm hiked its sales guidance for its key agriculture and construction units as well, and said its Q2 revenue would blow out consensus estimates. Later in the week Caterpillar released very favorable dealer metrics for the month of January, with North America machinery sales up a whopping 58% y/y in the month. – Iron ore miner Cliffs Natural Resources reported very strong Q4 profits on a big y/y gain in iron ore pricing. The company expects global steel production to continue to grow in 2011, although it warned that spot iron ore prices are unsustainably high. Reliance Steel also blew out earnings estimates, and said pricing would remain strong at least through the first quarter of 2011. – In tech, Dell’s profit was way ahead of the consensus in its Q4 report, thanks to a big improvement in margins. The company said it believes the corporate IT…

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FBR Analyst: Annaly Capital Still an “Outperform,” but Wary of Possible Dividend Cut (NLY)

Filed in dividend, earnings, FBR Capital, Gold Investing, o, outperform, shares, target by on February 11, 2011 0 Comments

Analysts at FBR Capital on Friday passed along some interesting opinions regarding real estate-related investment manager Annaly Capital Management, Inc. ( NLY ) on Friday. Although the firm maintained its “Outperform” rating and $20 price target on NLY, it noted a dividend cut could be in the works for the company. An FBR analyst commented, “We reiterate our rating and price target on NLY shares despite last week’s weaker-than-expected 4Q10 earnings results. While the results give us pause as to the viability of the current dividend, we believe that shares remain attractive from a long-term, risk-adjusted total return perspective. With a historically steep yield curve, the FOMC estimated to be on hold for at least another year, and declining prepayment speeds, we continue to believe that the operating environment is set up for NLY to deliver mid-to-high teen ROEs, and likewise dividend yields, for the foreseeable future.” Annaly Capital shares were mostly flat in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line Shares of Annaly Capital ( NLY ) have a 14.29% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $17.92. The stock has technical support in the $15-$17 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $20 price level. Annaly Capital Management, Inc. ( NLY ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Kellogg Upgraded to “Outperform” at Wells Fargo (K)

Cereal maker Kellogg Company ( K ) on Friday saw its rating and price target boosted on Friday by analysts at Wells Fargo. The firm said it upgraded K from “Market Perform” to “Outperform,” while boosting its valuation range from $51-$53 to $58-$60. That new target implies up to a 14% upside to the stock’s Thursday closing price of $52.52. A Wells analyst commented, “We expect Kellogg’s shares to appreciate as earnings surprise to the upside driven by a faster-than-expected recovery in its core N.A. retail cereal business. Kellogg enters 2011 with a 25% increase in new products versus 2009-2010 levels, increased investment in its supply chain, easy comparisons and list price increases already implemented to help cover surging input costs…our 2011E EPS to $3.50 from $3.40 (versus $3.46 consensus) and our 2012 estimate from $3.75 to $3.85 (versus $3.79 consensus) as a result.” Kellogg shares posted modest gains in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line We have been recommending shares of Kellogg ( K ) since Nov.3, 2010, when the stock was trading at $49.69. The company has a 3.08% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $52.52. Kellogg Company ( K ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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General Electric’s Price Target Boosted at Oppenheimer (GE)

Multinational conglomerate General Electric Company ( GE ) on Wednesday saw its price target boosted by analysts at Oppenheimer. The firm said it now expects GE shares to reach $25, which implies a more than 20% upside to the stock’s Tuesday closing price of $20.80. Oppenheimer also maintained its “Outperform” rating on GE, citing strong growth in its industrial segment. General Electric shares were mostly flat in premarket trading Wednesday. The Bottom Line We have been recommending shares of General Electric ( GE ) since July 23, 2010, when the stock was trading at $15.21. The company has a 2.69% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $20.80. General Electric Company ( GE ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Kraft Foods’ Estimates Cut at Credit Suisse on Cost Concerns (KFT)

Filed in dividend, earnings, EPS, Gold Bullion prices, o, outperform, shares, target by on January 31, 2011 0 Comments

Packaged foods maker Kraft Foods Inc. ( KFT ) on Monday saw its earnings estimates lowered through 2012 by analysts at Credit Suisse. The firm said it cut its 2011 and 2012 EPS estimates for KFT to $2.23 and $2.45, respectively. Credit Suisse cited rising costs for the move, as many food sellers have been feeling the crunch. Still, the analyst maintained its “Outperform” rating and $35 price target on KFT, which implies a 15% upside to the stock’s Friday closing price of $30.53. Kraft Foods shares were mostly flat in premarket trading Monday. The Bottom Line We have been recommending shares of Kraft Foods ( KFT ) since May 5, 2009, when the stock was trading at $24.26. The company has a 3.80% dividend yield, based on Friday’s closing stock price of $30.53. Kraft Foods Inc. ( KFT ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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'Fear and Love Make Gold Strong' | SHOUTing GORIlla

Filed in Australian Gold, Gold, o, outperform, silver by on January 28, 2011 0 Comments

This hopefully has reversed the trend of the last couple years where bullion outperformed the stock . Junior gold mining companies, on average, returned roughly twice the gain of gold bullion , but some of those names were fairly silver …

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Peabody Energy’s Estimates Upped at FBR Capital (BTU)

Coal producer Peabody Energy Corporation ( BTU ) on Wednesday saw its earnings estimates boosted by analysts at FBR Capital Markets. The firm also maintained its “Outperform” rating and $77 price target on BTU, which implies a 27% upside to the stock’s Tuesday closing price of $60.50. An FBR analyst commented, “We are modestly tweaking our 2011 EPS/EBITDA estimates to $4.83/$2,466M from $4.79/$2,518M, reflecting higher than earlier estimated sales volume (approximately 6 MTs), lower western U.S. realizations (approximately $1.3/ton), and lower tax rate expectations (25% versus 27%). We are also introducing our quarterly earnings estimates for 2011, with a 1Q11 EPS/EBITDA forecast of $0.61/$394M, which is toward the higher end of company-provided guidance. Furthermore, we are raising our 2012 EPS/EBITDA estimates slightly to $5.26/$2,735M from $5.14/$2,723M.” Peabody Energy shares rose 50 cents, or +0.8%, in premarket trading Wednesday. The Bottom Line Shares of Peabody Energy ( BTU ) have a .56% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $60.50. The stock has technical support in the $54-$56 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $62-$65 price levels. Peabody Energy Corporation ( BTU ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed

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NYSE Euronext Upgraded to “Outpeform” at Wells Fargo (NYX)

Stock exchange operator NYSE Euronext ( NYX ) on Monday saw its rating, price target, and earnings estimates all raised by analysts at Wells Fargo. The firm said it boosted its rating on NYX from “Market Perform” to “Outperform,” while raising its valuation range from $30-32 to $40-$42. That new range implies a possible 30% upside to the stock’s Friday closing price of $32.38. A Wells Fargo analyst commented, “Following several years of infrastructure buildout and M&A, we believe NYX has improved its competitiveness and service offering. This, coupled with a more optimistic outlook for exchange volumes, positions the company to deliver better growth over the near to medium term, in our view…We are also increasing our 2012 EPS estimate to $2.95 from $2.87.” NYSE shares rose 22 cents, or +0.7%, in premarket trading Monday. The Bottom Line Shares of NYSE Euronext ( NYX ) have a 3.71% dividend yield, based on Friday’s closing stock price of $32.38. The stock has technical support in the $28-$30 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $34-$35 price levels. NYSE Euronext ( NYX ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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FBR Capital Reiterates “Outperform” Rating on Peabody Energy (BTU)

Coal producer Peabody Energy Corporation ( BTU ) on Monday saw its “Outperform” rating reiterated by analysts at FBR Capital Markets. The firm also backed its $77 price target on BTU, which implies a 32% upside to the stock’s Friday closing price of $58.17. An FBR analyst commented, “The [coal] sector has declined off the top and is poised to react less to negative news and, hopefully, more favorably to positive news. BTU has lagged its U.S. and Australian peers by about 10%–15% for the one-, three-, and six-month periods, in part from 4Q10′s and 1Q11′s Australian flood impact and acquisition worries. We believe shares already discount the news and are now a bargain in front of several expected catalysts: (1) Australian production recovery, (2) West Coast port announcement, (3) formal sanctioning of Australia Millennium mine, (4) trading group upside with rising price volatility ($5/share value), (5) Mongolia optionality, (6) China project values becoming better understood, (7) acquisition risk overstated, with an outstanding track record.” Continuing, “While 2011 estimates may initially be reset due to 1Q11′s Australian supply issues, we believe estimates will be walked up over the rest of the year from rising prices, faster supply recovery, trading activity, and use of free cash flow.” Peabody Energy shares fell 25 cents, or -0.4%, in premarket trading Monday. The company is slated to reported its fourth quarter earnings results on Tuesday. The Bottom Line Shares of Peabody Energy ( BTU ) have a .58% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $58.17. The stock has technical support in the $54-$56 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $62-$65 price levels. Peabody Energy Corporation ( BTU ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Lennar’s (NYSE:LEN) Outperformance Should Continue

Filed in Gold Bullion prices, Gold Prices, Lennar, o, outperform, ubs by on January 21, 2011 0 Comments

Impressed by the recently quarterly results of Lennar (NYSE:LEN), UBS sees their outperformance continuing, although caution on possibly waiting for a better entry point. UBS says, “We were particularly impressed with Lennar’s results in its most recently reported quarter and would highlight a number of positives: 1) unit orders declined 6% YOY, leaving ending backlog down just 1% heading in F12

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Eaton Corp Upgraded to “Outperform” at Robert Baird (ETN)

Power management specialist Eaton Corporation ( ETN ) on Friday caught a big upgrade from analysts at Robert Baird. The firm said it boosted its rating on ETN from “Neutral” to “Outperform” with a $130 price target. That target implies a 30% upside from the stock’s Thursday closing price of $100.21. A Robert Baird analyst noted the company should see higher spending over the next few quarters. Eaton Corp shares rose $1.99, or +2%, in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line We have been recommending shares of Eaton Corp ( ETN ) since Nov.24, when the stock was trading at $95.81. The company has a 2.32% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $100.21. Eaton Corporation ( ETN ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Procter & Gamble Started as an “Outperform” at Wells Fargo (PG)

Consumer products maker The Procter & Gamble Company ( PG ) on Thursday saw its coverage initiated with an “Outperform” rating by analysts at Wells Fargo. The firm also set a $70-73 valuation range on the stock, which implies a 7% to 12% upside to the stock’s Wednesday closing price of $65.35. A Wells Fargo analyst commented, “Our positive view within our Market Weight Household and Personal Care sector rating is based on (1) P&G’s industry leading R&D investments, (2) penetration acceleration in developing and emerging (D&E) markets (i.e., more relative runway vs. competitors), and (3) leveraging both scale and financial strength to grow earnings. Near-term gross margin should be restrained by rising input costs. Long-term gross/op margin expansion should be driven by ongoing cost savings initiatives, improving business/product mix, and leveraging distribution expansion…Our FY ’11/’12 EPS estimates of $3.98/$4.39.” Procter & Gamble shares were mostly flat in premarket trading Thursday. The Bottom Line We have been recommending shares of Procter & Gamble ( PG ) since Sept.1, 2009, when the stock was trading at $54.11. The company has a 2.95% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $65.35. The Procter & Gamble Company ( PG ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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