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Market Week Wrap-up

– Leading global equity indices continued floating upwards this week while the inflation drumbeat just kept getting louder. In the US, the January y/y CPI figure hit +1.6%, its highest level since last spring, and some analysts were alarmed by higher food prices creeping into CPI data sooner than expected. China’s January CPI report was lower than expected at +4.9% y/y, but markets panned the figures as heavily massaged by basket revisions. In the UK, the BoE said CPI would likely continue growing at a 4-5% clip over the short term. The World Bank released a report indicating that food prices were up 15% since October 2010 and are now only 3% away from record highs hit in 2008. Commodities moves complicated the story somewhat. While silver has pushed out to 30-year highs, there were signs that inflated soft commodity prices were beginning to unwind, with cotton and grain prices both below recent highs. Crude and gold prices have been impacted by reports that Iran is sending warships through the Suez Canal and bloody protests in Bahrain (next door to Saudi Arabia), although WTI futures were well below recent highs seen in early February. The Obama Administration unveiled its $3.73T budget proposal for 2012, including an all-time high deficit of $1.65T, reflecting the tax-cut agreement reached with Republicans in December. For 2012, the administration sees the imbalance declining to $1.1T, giving the country a record four straight years of one trillion-plus deficits. Bond prices held steady after the details were released, and Congress sharpened its knives for a budget fight. The Feb Empire Manufacturing survey hit its highest level since last June, indicating that the US manufacturing expansion seen over the last several months is continuing. On Friday there was plenty of commentary out of the G20 conference, where leaders tried mightily to achieve some concrete steps in reforming the global monetary system. Fed Chairman Bernanke took a swipe at the Chinese in his policy address to the G20, warning that nations which keep currency values low create imbalances, while the PBoC’s Zhou continued to push for a higher profile for the IMF’s Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). For the week, the DJIA rose 1.0%, the Nasdaq gained 0.9% and the S&P500 was up 1.0%. – John Deere crushed earnings and revenue targets in its Q1 report and nearly doubled its guidance for FY11 equipment sales. The firm hiked its sales guidance for its key agriculture and construction units as well, and said its Q2 revenue would blow out consensus estimates. Later in the week Caterpillar released very favorable dealer metrics for the month of January, with North America machinery sales up a whopping 58% y/y in the month. – Iron ore miner Cliffs Natural Resources reported very strong Q4 profits on a big y/y gain in iron ore pricing. The company expects global steel production to continue to grow in 2011, although it warned that spot iron ore prices are unsustainably high. Reliance Steel also blew out earnings estimates, and said pricing would remain strong at least through the first quarter of 2011. – In tech, Dell’s profit was way ahead of the consensus in its Q4 report, thanks to a big improvement in margins. The company said it believes the corporate IT…

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ConocoPhillips (COP): Portfolio Anchor

Filed in Bank Gold, commodities, Conoco, earnings, HAL, o, revenue, Tegra by on February 18, 2011 0 Comments
ConocoPhillips (COP): Portfolio Anchor

Filed under: Newsletters , ConAgra Foods (CAG) , Commodities , Oil , Stocks to Buy “ConocoPhillips ( COP ) is not only my favorite integrated oil company, it is also on the short-list of my favorite stocks, period,” says Nathan Slaughter . The editor of Street Authority Market Advisor explains, “The company is raking in cash; the integrated oil giant pocketed $2.0 billion in net profits last quarter on $53.2 billion in revenues. “For all of 2010, earnings soared nearly 160% to $11.4 billion. That percentage gets cut in half when you exclude one-time gains and charges. Still, it’s a good time to be a shareholder. Continue reading ConocoPhillips (COP): Portfolio Anchor ConocoPhillips (COP): Portfolio Anchor originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Fri, 18 Feb 2011 10:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds . Permalink | Email this | Comments

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Digital Realty Trust Q4 FFO Rises; Forecast Boosted (DLR)

Data center REIT Digital Realty Trust, Inc. ( DLR ) on Friday posted better-than-expected fourth quarter funds from operations and lifted its full-year 2011 forecast. The San Francisco-based company reported fourth quarter funds from operations (FFO) of $102.91 million, or 98 cents per share, compared with $69.43 million, or 79 cents per share, in the year-ago period. Excluding one-time items, adjusted FFO was 96 cents per share. Revenue surged more than 40% from last year to $239 million. On average, Wall Street analysts expected smaller FFO of 91 cents per share, albeit on higher revenue of $242 million. Looking ahead, the company boosted its full-year 2011 FFO guidance to a range of $3.80 to $3.95 per share, while analysts expect $3.85 per share for the year. Digital Realty Trust shares were mostly flat in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line We recently added shares of Digital Realty Trust ( DLR ) to our recommended list. The company has a 4.86% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $56.02. Digital Realty Trust, Inc. ( DLR ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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CF Industries Q4 Profit Beats View on Rising Fertilizer Demand (CF)

Filed in CF Industries, dividend, earnings, Gold Investing, o, revenue, shares by on February 18, 2011 0 Comments

Fertilizer maker CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( CF ) late Thursday posted better-than-expected fourth quarter earnings results, aided by strong demand for its products and the addition of sales from its acquisition of rival Terra Nitrogen. The Deerfield, IL-based company reported fourth quarter net income of $200.3 million, or $2.78 per share, compared with $51.4 million, or $1.04 per share, in the year-ago period. Excluding one-time items, adjusted profit was $2.65 per share. Revenue more than doubled from last year to $1.24 billion. On average, Wall Street analysts expected a smaller profit of $2.56 per share, on lower revenue of $1.19 billion. CF Industries shares fell 81 cents, or -0.6%, in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line CF Industries ( CF ) has been an “aggressive” recommendation for us, but is not a name we think yield-focused investors should be considering. The company has a .27% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $147.81. CF Industries Holdings, Inc. ( CF ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Progress Energy Q4 Profit Slips 19%; Adjusted Net Beats View (PGN)

Filed in dividend, earnings, Gold Investing, Gold Investment, o, revenue, shares by on February 18, 2011 0 Comments

Electric utility operator Progress Energy, Inc. ( PGN ) on Friday said its fourth quarter profit fell 19% from last year on flat revenue, but adjusted results narrowly beat analyst expectations. The Raleigh, NC-based company reported fourth quarter net income of $125 million, or 42 cents per share, compared with $154 million, or 55 cents per share, in the year-ago period. Excluding one-time items, adjusted profit was 45 cents per share. Revenue remained essentially flat from last year at $2.3 billion. On average, Wall Street analysts expected a slightly smaller adjusted profit of 44 cents per share, albeit on slightly higher revenue of $2.4 billion. Looking ahead, the company predicted full-year 2011 earnings to range from $3 to $3.20 per share, while analysts expect $3.14 per share for the year. Progress also noted that its planned acquisition by rival Duke Energy ( DUK ) is still on track to close by the end of the year. Progress Energy shares were mostly flat in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line We have been recommending shares of Progress Energy ( PGN ) since Dec.10, 2009, when the stock was trading at $41.18. The company has a 5.40% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $45.92. Progress Energy, Inc. ( PGN ) is a “Recommended” dividend stock, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.5 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Campbell Soup Shares Plunge after Cutting 2011 Forecast (CPB)

Filed in dividend, earnings, Gold Bullion prices, o, revenue, shares by on February 18, 2011 0 Comments

Packaged foods maker Campbell Soup Company ( CPB ) on Friday posted fiscal second quarter earnings that met analyst expectations, but cut its full-year outlook, sending its shares plummeting in premarket trading. The Camden, NJ-based company reported fiscal second quarter net income of $239 million, or 71 cents per share, compared with $259 million, or 74 cents per share, in the year-ago period. Revenue fell 1% from last year to $2.13 billion. On average, Wall Street analysts expected a matching profit of 71 cents per share, albeit on slightly higher revenue of $2.15 billion. Looking ahead, the company cut its full-year 2011 outlook, citing weaker-than-expected soup sales. It now expects full-year revenue to range from a 1% decline to a 1% rise, and forecast profits to fall 1% to 3%. Campbell Soup shares plunged $1.45, or -4.2%, in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line We recently removed shares of Campbell Soup ( CPB ) from our recommended list. The company has a 3.32% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $34.94. The stock has technical support in the $30 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $36 price level. Campbell Soup Company ( CPB ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Nordstrom Q4 Profit Jumps 35%; Will Acquire HauteLook for $180 Million (JWN)

Filed in dividend, earnings, Gold, o, revenue, shares by on February 18, 2011 0 Comments

Fashion retailer Nordstrom, Inc. ( JWN ) late Thursday said its fourth quarter profit surged 35% from last year, beating analyst estimates, as the company announced the acquisition of discount luxury website HauteLook. The Seattle-based company reported fourth quarter net income of $232 million, or $1.04 per share, compared with $172 million, or 77 cents per share, in the year-ago period. Revenue rose 10% from last year to $2.92 billion. On average, Wall Street analysts expected a smaller profit of 99 cents per share, on lower revenue of $2.83 billion. Looking ahead, the company forecast full-year 2011 earnings to range from $2.95 to $3.10 per share. Analysts currently expect $3.04 per share for the year. In a separate announcement, Nordstrom said it would buy discount luxury goods website HauteLook for $180 million in stock. Nordstrom shares fell $1.27, or -2.7%, in premarket trading Friday. The Bottom Line Shares of Nordstom ( JWN ) have a 1.72% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $46.48. The stock has technical support in the $40-$44 price area. If the shares can firm up, we see overhead resistance around the $50 price level. Nordstrom, Inc. ( JWN ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.3 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Weight Watchers 2011 Forecast Blows Away Expectations; Shares Rocket Higher (WTW)

Filed in dividend, earnings, Gold Bullion prices, Guidance, o, revenue, shares by on February 17, 2011 0 Comments

Weight management specialist Weight Watchers International, Inc. ( WTW ) on Thursday posted better-than-expected fourth quarter earnings and provided at 2011 forecast that wowed investing, sending its shares soaring in premarket trading. The New York-based company reported forth quarter net income of $48.9 million, or 66 cents per share, compared with just $18.7 million, or 24 cents per share, in the year-ago period. Excluding items, adjusted profit was 64 cents per share. Revenue jumped almost 15% from last year to $356.7 million. On average, Wall Street analysts expected a smaller profit of 56 cents per share, on lower revenue of $321 million. The company’s real surprise came in its guidance. For 2011, WTW said it expects full-year earnings to range from $3.50 to $3.85 per share, which would absolutely blow away analysts’ view for $2.77 per share. Weight Watchers shares surged $14.88, or +33%, in premarket trading Thursday. The Bottom Line Shares of Weight Watchers ( WTW ) have a 1.56% dividend yield, based on last night’s closing stock price of $44.92. The stock is blowing through all-time high levels of $57-$58 a share this morning. We’ll see if this level of overhead resistance plays a role in the stock as the day progresses. Weight Watchers International, Inc. ( WTW ) is not recommended at this time, holding a Dividend.com DARS™ Rating of 3.4 out of 5 stars. Be sure to visit our complete recommended list of the Best Dividend Stocks , as well as a detailed explanation of our ratings system here .

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Royal Gold (RGLD): A Net Asset Value Buy

Filed in Bank Gold, commodities, gld, Gold, o, penasquito, Penasquito Mine, revenue, royal gold by on February 16, 2011 0 Comments

Filed under: International Markets , Newsletters , Mexico , Commodities , Stocks to Buy “Royal Gold ( RGLD ), a gold royalty operation, is progressing well, and is a good buy at current levels,” says global resources expert Adrian Day . The editor of The Global Analyst explains, “Over $6 a share income by 2013 makes Royal Gold fundamentally inexpensive; it is also selling below a reasonable net asset value, unusually for gold stocks. “The company hold a gold royalty on part of the huge Penasquito mine in Mexico, which had a good first quarter. Royal Gold has other new projects gearing up to boost revenues. Andacollo started production in October, so this year will see a full year of revenues from two new mines. Continue reading Royal Gold (RGLD): A Net Asset Value Buy Royal Gold (RGLD): A Net Asset Value Buy originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Wed, 16 Feb 2011 12:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds . Permalink | Email this | Comments

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Celgene (CELG): A Biotech Takeover Target?

Filed in Bank Gold, ceo, earnings, jp morgan, o, revenue, target by on February 15, 2011 0 Comments
Celgene (CELG): A Biotech Takeover Target?

Filed under: Newsletters , Stocks to Buy “As tradition holds, Celgene ( CELG ) gave the first presentation at the recent 29th JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, where CEO Bog Hugin focused on Celgene’s ongoing plans to become a world-wide company and expansion into global markets,” reports John McCamant . The biotech specialist and editor of The Medical Technology Stock Letter explains, “They expect 2011 to be the first year where the company earns a majority of sales outside the U.S. The company is currently conducting 25 Phase III trials on its various drugs. “Celgene also announced 4th quarter 2010 earnings last week, and revenue was down 16%, mostly based on costs incurred due to the Abraxis acquisition. Continue reading Celgene (CELG): A Biotech Takeover Target? Celgene (CELG): A Biotech Takeover Target? originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 Feb 2011 13:00:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds . Permalink | Email this | Comments

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Tech Expert Eyes QuickLogic (QUIK)

Filed in Bank Gold, Guidance, Lear, o, revenue, shares, ubs by on February 15, 2011 0 Comments
Tech Expert Eyes QuickLogic (QUIK)

Filed under: Newsletters , Stocks to Buy “QuickLogic ( QUIK ) recently reported fourth quarter revenue slightly below its revised guidance, and forecast that Q1 new product revenue would be down roughly $100K,” notes tech sector specialist Paul McWilliams . In his Next Inning newsletter, he explains, “Both are clearly disappointing pieces of news. However, as I see it, the disappointment ends there, and I continue to own these shares. “The semiconductor company makes products that enable customers to add new features, extend battery life and enhance images on mobile and consumer products. Continue reading Tech Expert Eyes QuickLogic (QUIK) Tech Expert Eyes QuickLogic (QUIK) originally appeared on BloggingStocks on Tue, 15 Feb 2011 10:30:00 EST. Please see our terms for use of feeds . Permalink | Email this | Comments

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The 10 Year $1.5 Trillion Tax Hike

Filed in AMAG, BP, dividend, Gold Market, o, obama, revenue, target, ubs, Uncategorized by on February 14, 2011 0 Comments

While our goal with this blog isn’t to bash the government, we do want to point out what’s likely to impact the markets, small businesses, and families across the country. The US government plays a substantial role in what happens on Wall Street… every single day. ————— The new Obama budget basically shoves a 10 year, $1.5 trillion tax hike down our throats. So much for that “No family making less than $250,000 a year will see any form of tax increase” promise . As pointed out by Americans for Tax Reform, here’s what we can look forward to: “President Obama released his budget this morning. Rather than focusing on Washington’s over-spending problem, the budget calls for higher taxes on families and small businesses to pay for even more government spending. Under the Obama budget, tax revenues will grow from 14.4% of GDP in 2011 to 20% of GDP in 2021. By comparison, the historical average is only 18% of GDP. Tax hike lowlights include: Raising the top marginal income tax rate (at which a majority of small business profits face taxation) from 35% to 39.6%. This is a $709 billion/10 year tax hike Raising the capital gains and dividends rate from 15% to 20% Raising the death tax rate from 35% to 45% and lowering the death tax exemption amount from $5 million ($10 million for couples) to $3.5 million. This is a $98 billion/ten year tax hike Capping the value of itemized deductions at the 28% bracket rate. This will effectively cut tax deductions for mortgage interest, charitable contributions, property taxes, state and local income or sales taxes, out-of-pocket medical expenses, and unreimbursed employee business expenses. A new means-tested phaseout of itemized deductions limits them even more. This is a $321 billion/ten year tax hike New bank taxes totaling $33 billion over ten years New international corporate tax hikes totaling $129 billion over ten years New life insurance company taxes totaling $14 billion over ten years Massive new taxes on energy, including LIFO repeal, Superfund, domestic energy manufacturing, and many others totaling $120 billion over ten years Increasing unemployment payroll taxes by $15 billion over ten years Taxing management capital gains in an investment partnership (“carried interest”) as ordinary income. This is a tax hike of $15 billion over ten years A giveaway to the trial lawyers—not letting companies deduct the cost of punitive damages from a lawsuit settlement. This is a tax hike of $300 million over ten years Increasing tax penalties, information reporting, and IRS information sharing. This is a ten-year tax hike of $20 billion. You can read more here. The 10 Year $1.5 Trillion Tax Hike originally appeared in Wealth Daily . Wealth Daily is a free daily newsletter featuring contrarian investment insights and commentary.

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